1. I had written some time ago that the best possible outcome ethically would be a Trump landslide, and the worst would be a Trump win in the Electoral College while losing the popular vote. Somehow I missed the obvious worst scenario, which is what we are getting: a mega-2000 mess, with multiple states in doubt for various questionable factors, resulting in litigation by both sides, stretching on into December.
This was one more example of how the false and biased polls interfered with legitimate analysis.
2. I have frequently praised Richard Nixon for passing on the opportunity to challenge the results in Illinois, Texas and other states after the 1960 election, and saying that it was more important to respect the process and not throw an election into turmoil. Of course, based on what we know about Nixon. That may have been a ploy and virtue signaling: while there was certainly some voting shenanigans, notably in Richard Daley’s notoriously corrupt Chicago, Nixon maybe have been told that he would lose anyway, and that challenging the results would make it harder for him to come back and win in ’64 or ’68. Nonetheless, Nixon set the norm, and Al Gore broke it in 2000. Now it seems insane for a party to not to challenge a close election if there seems to be any question about the legitimacy of the result.
That shift is also a reflection of the widening chasm between the two parties. There wasn’t much difference philosophically between the Democrats and Republicans in 1960, nor between Nixon and Kennedy. (There wasn’t much difference between their ethical instincts either, but we didn’t know that at the time.) Today there is every reason to believe that for a party to just shrug off the possibility that a Presidency has been stolen in the best interests of the nation is a breach of duty and a betrayal of the public trust.
However, a party (like the Democrats since 2016) or a candidate (like Hillary Clinton) continuing to deny the results after they have been validated is unforgivable and destructive.
3. That Democrats could not win the Senate and even lost a part of its majority margin in the House is the final measure of just how terrible—incompetent or deliberately dishonest– the polls were. Wrote Adam Mill in part yesterday on American Greatness,
[We] can suspect that the polls consistently erred on the side of a President Biden for the same reason that the legacy media so clearly abuses its readers with misinformation: They’re liars. The polls are lies and the reporting on the polling is lies.The signs have been there for months. Trump supporters knew they were being lied to. But some Biden voters suspected it. A few true liberal holdouts began nervously grumbling about the Big Tech censorship of the Hunter Biden financial scandals. African Americans, Hispanics, LGBTQ, and blue-collar workers increasingly have resisted their typecasting. Famous rappers began giving cultural permission to vote for Trump.
Like kamikaze planes splashing harmlessly in the sea adjacent to their targets, the legacy media either lied to America or themselves as they squandered the last shreds of illusionary credibility. The polls were never meant to reflect public opinion. They were always about shaping the opinion. And as the day of reckoning approached and the real opinion failed to follow the pollster’s wishful thinking, many tried to pull out of their dives, reporting a “tightening” race.
Balderdash. The opinions have not changed that much in just a few days.
I think I agree with this analysis. And please stop defending Nate Silver. If he were not biased himself, and either blinded by it or deliberately assisting the media’s attempt to distort public perception, he wouldn’t use polls to base his “models” on. Garbage in, garbage out. This time, polls 538 rated as A+ flunked miserably. This is known as vouching for an untrustworthy entity.
4. Someone has to point it out: there has been a lot of “Worst white supremacy candidate ever!” gloating in the conservative media about the fact that the only demographic in which Trump lost support between 2016 and 2020 was “white males.” Gee, I wonder why this was…
Isn’t it obvious? In 2016, Trump was the only white male in the race. Of course he lost some knee-jerk male voters who were Democrats when their loyalty was divided. Clinton was wrong to attribute her loss to gender bias, but just as there are women who voted for Hillary just because she was female, there were significant numbers of white male voters who voted against her for the same reason. So Trump, we are told, lost 5 points off his white male base.
5. The Trump-hating, biased, Big Lie wielding Washington Post wrote today, “In Arizona, Biden’s lead narrowed overnight, leaving the Republican incumbent with a small path to victory there.”
This means that Fox News calling Arizona early for Biden was, as I wrote yesterday, a) false b) wrong, c) suspicious and d) evidence of a double standard, since it held off calling other states for the President when he was far ahead and obviously would remain there, like Texas. Even if Biden eventually wins Arizona, the fact that it is still in doubt means Fox News’ call—with a career Democrat making the call, coincidentally—was justly criticized, by me as well as many others.
6. Fake News Dept. No, the Trump campaign does not want to “stop counting ballots” in Pennsylvania and others states, but the aforementioned Post, among others, keeps stating it that way, confusing at least one Ethics Alarms commenter and a lot of the Trump Deranged. The campaign has sued to halt and pause the counting until it can be monitored to the Trump campaign’s satisfaction, a reasonable step for anyone who remembers the 2000 chad-counting fiasco. The unexplained wave of Biden votes in Wisconsin and Michigan justifies such caution. From the Daily Caller:
Elections officials in Michigan and Wisconsin refused to explain Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s sudden and dramatic vote tally increase that occurred in both states Wednesday morning. Michigan and Wisconsin state officials warned against misinformation being shared online, but wouldn’t comment on specific vote tranches that appeared to show former Vice President Joe Biden suddenly receiving more votes than President Donald Trump. The two battleground states remained tightly contested as of Wednesday afternoon, according to The New York Times….Voter tallies from both states spiked at around 6 a.m. in favor of Biden, according to graphs of live tallies posted by FiveThirtyEight. Trump tweeted multiple times Wednesday morning claiming that officials are finding votes for Biden “all over the place.”
…However, Benson said she was unfamiliar with the specifics of the vote count released Wednesday morning. Benson’s office also would not comment on the specifics of the tally in question.“We cannot speculate as to why the results lean one way or another,” Michigan Department of State spokesperson Aneta Kiersnowski told The Daily Caller News Foundation in a statement.
There may be nothing irregular at all, but this kind of “humina humina” creates the appearance of impropriety, and that’s the last thing we need in a close election.
Why are questions being asked? How’s this for a reason: in Michigan, Biden somehow got 138,339 votes and Trump got none, zero, in an overnight vote-dump.
7. Is there anything significantly irregular or potential evidence of attempts to “steal the election”? Well, in addition to the sudden appearance of over 100,000 Biden votes in Michigan,
- 118-year-old “William Bradley” voted via absentee ballot in Wayne County, Michigan. William Bradley died in 1984. This, of course, has always been a danger in mail-in ballots. How often it occurs, nobody knows, but denying it does occur, as Democrats do, is a straight up lie.
- In Michigan, pseudo-journalist James O’Keefe claims, “Whistleblower Details Directive From Superiors: Back-Date Late Mail-In-Ballots As Received November 3rd, 2020 So They Are Accepted “Separate them from standard letter mail so they can hand stamp them with YESTERDAY’S DATE & put them through”
- In Antrim County, Michigan, where Trump beat Hillary Clinton by 30 points in 2016. vote totals there showed Biden ahead of Trump by 29 points, a result that couldn’t possibly be accurate, as many journalists pointed out.
- Yet another all-Biden vote dump happened in Wisconsin over night as Thursday prepared to dawn. Biden miraculously overcame a 4.1-point Trump lead with several vote dumps in which he got 100 percent of the votes and Trump got zero.
- In Pennsylvania, the Democratic Secretary of State announced that late mail-in ballots would be counted as though they were received on Election Day, even if they have no postmark, and the plan was approved by the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, which cited the need for “equitable relief” to address mail delays amid the pandemic. These are ballots that come in after Election Day that don’t even have a postmark, with no way to tell when the ballots were mailed, or from where.
This scheme is begging for litigation, and will surely get it.
8. Ethics Alarms is officially dubbing what we are experiencing as the 2020 Election Ethics Train Wreck.
Source: The Federalist