When we last left American University Allen Lichtman, he was smarting from his obviously incompetent and biased prediction that Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump proving to be spectacularly wrong. On Wednesday after Election Day, Lichtman told USA TODAY, “Right now after a very long night I am taking some time off to assess why I was wrong and what the future holds for America.” That was enough for me to enshrine him in the “Bias Makes You Stupid” Hall of Fame.
So Lichtman thought and he thought, and he reviewed his over-hyped formula that had delivered 9 out of 10 correct predictions in races that anyone could have predicted with no formula at all (Lichtman’s: go with who looks like the obvious winner, and when in doubt, pick the Democrat), and he applied his training and skills as a an American Presidential historian, and guess what he figured out! No, really, guess. I’ll give you time to think…
Ready?
On his YouTube channel, Lichtman that voters were not “rational” or “pragmatic,” succumbed to “disinformation” and Trump’s promotion of “xenophobia,” “misogyny” and “racism”!
Gee, the Ladies of “The View” came up with that, and they’re all biased, Trump Deranged morons. The voters were stupid, the brilliant Democratic message was muted by social media lies, and half of all Americans wouldn’t vote for a black woman as President because of bigotry.
I think the professor should have “assessed” a teeny bit longer. But it probably wouldn’t have done any good.
“I think two things this year, and maybe going forward, broke this premise of a rational, pragmatic electorate, and these are trends that are not new but have exploded this year beyond anything we’ve ever seen before. First is disinformation,” this clown said. “Always had disinformation, but we’ve never had anything remotely on this scale, where billionaires — I don’t know how much Elon Musk is worth, I’m sure more than a hundred billion dollars — who control critical sources of information for the electorate. I mean, Elon Musk owns X, and I’ve seen reports that his disinformation that he’s put out, has been viewed by two billion viewers, vastly more influential than New York Times, Washington Post, CNN, CBS… the incredible explosion of disinformation…makes it very difficult for a rational, pragmatic electorate to operate.”
“Then add to that that we’ve seen Trump and his allies exploit, far more than ever before — even 2016 and 2020 — trends that run deep into American history and still resonate at this time: xenophobia, fear of foreign influences … We have never seen, in recent history, xenophobia to this level, and it digs deep into a trend in American history. It’s not something brand new, and it’s not just white people, you know?” Lichtman said. “People of all races and ethnicities can be subject to xenophobia. And finally, there’s racism, one of the deepest, most pervasive trends in American history. And we have seen, just as Trump and his allies have brought misogyny and xenophobia to a new level, he’s also brought blatant racism to a new level … So we see then the explosion of disinformation and these three dark trends from American history, and that calls into question the whole premise behind the keys of rationality and pragmatism.”
Wow. What a hack!
If I had a son at American, this would be sufficient to have me seek another school to send him to, because such a complete lack of perception, analysis and accountability shouldn’t be permitted on any faculty, in any department.
“Experts” like Lichtman will now validate the fact-free rationalizations of the current Trump-Derangement victims and Democratic Party leadership seeking ways to duck responsibility for running a terrible candidate (whom everyone paying attention knew would be a terrible candidate before she was “selected). He blames Elon Musk? Did Musk magically make Harris sound like an evasive, babbling phony who couldn’t function without a script or a teleprompter? That’s a neat trick! Isn’t part of a college education to learn the life skill of recognizing when you’ve screwed up and learn from the mistake? Clearly Lichtman won’t teach his students that.
Small wonder that Lichtmas thinks Harris was the “rational” choice for President: he’s almost as much of a phony as she is.

This is typical- it’s someone else’s fault. How does he explain the increases in votes Trump got from traditionally Democrat circles? Harris only performed well in those circles of people who believe they are the intellectual elite. The irony is that the people calling Trump supporters xenophobia and racists are the biggest bigots of them all.
Well, he can’t afford to be typical: news shows had him on their programs as an “expert” providing special scholarly insight into the election! The man is a hack and a fraud. no one should take him seriously.
And clearly a true believer. He’s on board with the “these idiot voters don’t know what’s good for them.” Implying the people who didn’t vote for the Dingbat are stupid. Great politicking. Insult a massive amount of the populous.
trust the Science! The same bullshit that killed 100million people last century. This time will be different! Morons!
Ugh. This is some classic “bias makes you stupid,” because I can explain to him exactly why he got it wrong.
His list isn’t bad, but the problem is many of the items are subjective, and the list is accurate from the perspective of the electorate.
Is the economy good? The mainstream media have been trying to convince us it is, and they have lots of charts and figures. I specifically remember Lictman gave that one to Biden and then Harris… In spite of everyone being aware that people were convinced the economy was not good. It’s what people think that matters to how they vote, not how the stock market is doing.
If I recall he also gave them “no major military failures,” in spite of the Afghanistan withdraw, the billions to the Ukraine, payments to Iran, and the ongoing mess in Palestine all being perfectly reasonable for voters to interpret as major military failures.
He wanted it to come out for the Democrats, so he bought the spin and ignored all the voters who made it clear in poll after poll that they had a very different view of things.
The kicker of it is his list isn’t bad and might have got him the right answer… If he’d had any idea how voters would answer those questions.
Listening to what Sonny Hostin said about Trump’s faults today – 34 felonies, racist, misogynist, pussy-grabber, insurrectionist, etc, etc – and then reading Lichtman pile on as well, I desperately want to interview VP Harris and ask a single question: how bad did you have to stink as a candidate to lose to that?!?
Pretty bad, I guess.
“how bad did you have to stink as a candidate to lose to that?!?“
Lefty’d prefer that not be discussed; to wit:
This election pitted Harris against Hitler/Satan/Evil Incarnate.
The L.A. Times, WaPo, The U.S.A. Today, and Gannett’s other 200 + papers (combined >387K print/ >5 Million online circulation) didn’t back Harris.
Let THAT sink in!
PWS