(…which is NOT going well. At all.)
Even Andy Williams blaring out “It’s the Most Wonderful Time of the Year” couldn’t stop my mind from flowing into dark places.
Anything can happen, of course, but it is not too early to seriously consider what will happen if Donald Trump sweeps to victory next November. All the signs point that way now. The Democratic Party/”resistance”/ mainstream media axis’s plan(s) to take destroy Trump and force him out of the White House have not only failed, but made him stronger and more defiant. Those who voted for him deeply resent the way their choice for President has been treated—more disrespectfully and disgracefully than any previous POTUS—and are substantially more enthusiastic about their support than ever. Many of those who did not vote for him—like me—have seen their alarm over the increasingly radical, bellicose and anti-American drift of the Democratic Party slowly overcome their visceral revulsion at Trump’s style, manners, character and rhetoric. In the meantime, either by good fortune or good management (or a combination of both), the nation is doing well in many respects, and the President deserves credit.
The Democratic Party’s reliance on Big Lies to counter that, as was on display most recently in the PBS/Politico debate, is transparent, unconvincing and damning. Joe Biden, the alleged front-runner for the nomination, said that the economy is “out of kilter.” High employment, low unemployment, higher wages and a booming stock market is only “out of kilter” to socialists, who measure success in the relative terms of “How dare anyone do better than I’m doing! That’s not fair!” Unfortunately for Democrats but fortunately for us, most Americans don’t think that way–enviously, greedily, avariciously. They don’t resent the success of others; they don’t believe is absolute equality of outcomes. Well, high employment, low unemployment, higher wages and a booming stock market is only “out of kilter” to socialists…and liars.
Polls–I know, I know—show President Trump with more approval from African Americans than any Republican President or candidate has had in decades other than when Colin Powell was considering a run, almost a third. Some of that will fall to habit and peer pressure, but if Trump gets a percentage of black votes approaching 20%, the Democrats are looking at losing in a landslide.
This is especially true because, again, absent some lightning strike, the Democratic candidate who will oppose Trump will either be a weak moderate, who will not energize the base, or an extreme, narrow base candidate who will alienate independents and Democrats who do not want to “fundamentally alter America.” Defeating incumbent Presidents is extremely rare and difficult; defeating them when the economy is good is nearly impossible; and defeating them with Left Wing ideologues…the template is George McGovern. This fact is obscured by the anomolies of the late 20th Century: Kennedy’s assassination before he could run again; Johnson’s derailment by the Vietnam War; Nixon’s self-immolation; Ford’s unelected Presidency; Carter’s sanctimonious incompetence; and Bush I’s victimization by the Understudy Phenomenon (every President elected because a popular transformational President designated him as his successor—Van Buren, Taft, and Bush—has fallen after a single term) misleadingly suggest that defeating an incumbent is a breeze.
Of course, Donald Trump could encounter one of the unexpected disasters that took down some of these men; surely his recklessness makes that possible. Time is running out, however, and the horrible “resistance” miscalculation that is the impeachment fiasco looks like it will be a permanent anchor on any attempted Democratic recovery.
So back to the original question: how will the Trump Deranged react if they lose again?
The worst case scenario, from a complete freak-out perspective, would be another popular vote loss for Trump with an Electoral College victory. (Well, the absolute worst would be a 2000-style dead heat with the Supreme Court having to adjudicate.) For the sake of sanity, however, let’s just assume a clear, normal, uncontroversial win, with the President winning the popular vote and a strong electoral vote majority.
Based on what I’ve seen so far in the news media and in social media, I think the anti-Trump obsessed, triggered by irresponsible Democratic Party leaders and with inadequate leadership from past Democratic figures and others with at least minimal influence over the woke and the broke, and shocked, as unreasonable as that is, by false expectations of victory because of the sound-proof echo chambers where they receive only warped versions of reality, will leave all perspective and civic responsibility behind.
They will proclaim their loss as proof that democracy no longer works, and that the American public has been corrupted by evil values. They will claim, regardless of the facts, that the election results were manipulated, tainted, and unreliable. Like Stacy Abrams, whoever the Democratic candidate is will declare that he or she was defeated by voter suppression, foreign interference, voter machine tampering, or other sinister means. A new, angrier, crazier “resistance” will march, and demonstrate, and protest, while the complicit mainstream media will egg them on, declaring a Constitutional crisis. There is no justice, no equality, no hope, we will be told, over and over. There will be more physical attacks on Republicans in public, and more violent ones.
For his part, Donald Trump will only be capable of exacerbating the madness, not calming it. He will gloat, and mock, and antagonize his foes, creating in them the same emotions as someone pointing and laughing as their house is burning down or their child is dying.
And some point, I fear, the rest of the country will really get angry.
This scenario, I believe is more than likely, and it will be bad for everyone. There is a part of me, growing stronger every day, after my usual measure of abuse and gaslighting and condescension on Facebook, that is inclined to say, “Good. These juvenile fools, and their party and ideological fellow-travelers, asked for this result. They can live with it. They were warned that their reaction to the 2016 election would make a 2020 victory for Trump more rather than less likely, and that they would harm themselves as well as divide the country. They were warned, the signs were clear and obvious, yet they proceeded down this irresponsible path anyway. This should teach them. The more pain the better.”
Except that my ethical part would not be saying or thinking these things, and I do not believe that you heal a societal rift by tugging on it.
There are ways to mitigate this disaster before it occurs. There have to be.
Right, now, however, I am unable to think of what those might be.