NOTICE OF UPDATE: The numbers J.D. Rucker used in the sources for this post can no longer be verified. Now HIS alleged source is showing numbers that don’t support his argument. I can’t imagine that Rucker, who has some credibility and writes for various conservative publications, would make up statistics wholesale for a post about statistics. I can imagine the statistics being altered after he called attention to their suspicious nature, since there is such a concerted effort to discredit any claims that the voting totals may not be accurate, but there is no evidence of that. This is the whole problem. There are no reliable sources.
\You want smoke? You want red flags? You want the appearance of impropriety? You want to hear about yet another dubiously flipped crucial state in the 2020 election?
Conservative writer J.D. Rucker reported that numbers from DecisionDeskHQ showed that 5,867,609 people in Michigan voted for President while only 5,717,819 voted in the hotly contested Senate election. That’s a 149,790 difference. As of the time of his post, he wrote, Joe Biden was ahead by 145,935 votes.
“What a coinkydink!” (Special credit for identifying the film quote and the actor!)
It does seem odd, since Michigan had a very competitive Senate race. It is not unusual for some voters to skip one part of a ballot or another, but doing so has still occurred in proportionately small number in past years. Other states this election followed the usual pattern, with voters of both parties designating their preferences for both the presidential race and the Senate. In Oregon, for example, where there was no chance of the state going to Trump, 2,317,816 voted for President compared to the 2,281,011 votes cast in the Senate race, a 36,805 difference.
South Carolina is a reliably conservative, Republican state that had a Senate race that was hotly contested. There, 2,514,124 voted for President and a nearly identical 2,512,793 voted in the Senate race, a mere 1,331 difference.
Michigan’s huge and convenient number of single-purpose ballots doesn’t prove anything. It is, however, one more questionable clue in the early morning wave of Biden votes that flipped Michigan, where other irregularities were in play. J.D. Rucker edits the NOQ report and has a theory about this, which I don’t understand at all and states as fact assertions that I cannot verify to my satisfaction. If you want to get into those weeds, be my guest.
This one should be easy to clear up: if all or most of the ballots with only a Presidential vote favored Biden, that would signal a ballot dump. If the Senate vote-free ballots are reasonably split, then, as Emily Litella would say,
This weird statistic is one of many sources of doubt that mail-in voting allowed to pollute this election, and like the rest, they have to be investigated and explained before anyone will trust the results.
We must have a result in the Presidential race that can be trusted.