Robo-Umps Are Officially In Major League Baseball, and It’s An Ethical Development

Finally, Major League Baseball has conceded that with technology available to call balls and strikes accurately, it makes no sense to permit bad calls by human umpires to change the results of at-bats, games, careers and even whole seasons. In 2026 the “ABS” system will be in play, adding integrity, accuracy and, yes, strategy to the game. Good. It’s about time.

I’ve been advocating computerized ball and strike calls at least since 2017, when I wrote,

In the top of the eighth inning of a crucial Dodgers-Cubs NLDS game, Dodger batter Curtis Granderson struck out. The pitch hit the dirt, and Cubs catcher Willson Contreras, as the rules require when a strike isn’t caught cleanly, tagged Gunderson for the final out of the inning. Granderson argued to home plate umpire Jim Wolf that his bat had made slight contact with the ball. It didn’t. The replay showed that his bat missed the ball by at least four inches. Nonetheless Wolf, after conferring with the other umpires agreed that the ball was a foul tip. Gunderson’s at bat was still alive….

After the game, Wolf watched the video and told reporters that he had indeed, as everyone already knew, blown the call.

As it happened, his embarrassing and needless botch didn’t matter. Gunderson struck out anyway. That, however, is just moral luck. The call and the umpire’s refusal to reverse it was just as inexcusable whether it resulted in ten Dodger runs or nothing. The point is that such a call could have changed the game, and the series. If it had, the screams from Chicago fans and anyone who cares about the integrity of the game would have persisted and intensified until baseball abandoned its archaic rationalization that “human error is part of the baseball,” and made use of available technology to make sure such a fiasco can’t happen.

This scenario will occur. Human beings being what they are, however, it won’t play out until a championship has been lost after a strike three right down the middle of the plate is called a ball by a fallible human umpire, and then the lucky batter hits a game-winning, walk-off grand slam on the next pitch. Then, after the horse has not only fled but trampled the barn-owner’s children, Major League Baseball will put a lock on the door.

The barn door, however, is wide open now, and the lock is available.

Two years later, I complained about this foolish attitude by the baseball powers- that-be again, writing,

5 thoughts on “Robo-Umps Are Officially In Major League Baseball, and It’s An Ethical Development

  1. The challenge system will be a disaster. Teams will run out of challenges in the first inning. There’s simply no reason whatsoever not to go to ABS on all pitches. I’m guessing ABS will call every pitch starting next year, or maybe by this year’s all-star break.

  2. Imagine what that “umpire called” graphic would look like if Angel Hernandez was still behind the plate. In fact, I blame much of this switch to computers for balls and strikes on his abysmal ability to call them correctly.

  3. I agree about the use of technology to improve the game.

    That said, I do not like this challenge system. You could have 10 different people initiating challenges (pitcher, DH and every other batter on the team). I can see a dumb prima donna burning through the challenges on a single trip to the plate.

    It is also unclear whether there is a limit on challenges. “If the team succeeds with a challenge, it keeps it.” Does this mean you could have a dozen challenges if they are all correct, whereas the NFL limits it to one additional challenge if the first two are successful.

    And, the NFL limits it because it is a timed game where challenges could be used as a time-out. Here, it sounds like there will be little delay so more challenges should be allowed. The NFL has turned challenges into a strategy. For MLB, there is no real strategy to the challenges. (Which if fine.) But, if the whole point of adding challenges is to improve the game, the limit on the number of challenges just means that the MLB is still willing to tolerate a degree of error when it could be prevented.

    The better way would be to make all calls automated. We already see it on the TV. It could be so easy to implement, as opposed to the NFL, where there are more moving pieces in a game. Adopting an NFL-style challenge system is stupid.

    I suspect that it is not being fully implemented because of pushback from the umpires. They don’t want their duties diminished. And, once the technology reaches a certain point, all calls could be automated. You would only need one umpire to handle the whole game. The umpires would not be happy about that.

    And, if that was at all a part of the consideration, its implementation is not ethical.

    -Jut

    • Remember, in every at bat, only the batter and the catcher (now that it looks like pitchers will be muzzled) can challenge. Any egregious miscall will always be challenged. Teams are going to use Spring Training to figure out when to risk losing challenges on close calls. If teams win 50 challenges against a sigle umpire, I’d say that would raise issues about that umpire.

      The data shows that literally any bad call can be game changing. The relative batting averages and OBA on even 1-0 counts cs 0-1 counts, or 1-2 counts vs 2-1, are huge. Also the biases against generally wild pitchers vs. control pitchers, where confirmation bias can lead to bad calls. I think the system has been well-vetted, but players will need to pay attention.

      • “Remember, in every at bat, only the batter and the catcher (now that it looks like pitchers will be muzzled) can challenge.”

        Yes, I get that. The problem is that every batter is going to compete for those challenges. I would expect some batters will challenge more frequently, especially if they have certain performance incentives in their contract. Old Bill thinks they would be used up in the first inning; that may not be unrealistic.

        And, if every bad call can be game-changing (I agree), have the system call the whole game. No reason to say: “we will correct no more than 4 bad calls per game.” (Or however many possible challenges there could be.)

        -Jut

Leave a reply to JutGory Cancel reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.