Now there’s a poll that you won’t find highlighted in many mainstream media reports. From the Washington Examiner, part of the conservative media:
Despite a wave of critical news coverage and Democratic catcalls, President Trump sits at his “highest” approval in the latest Gallup survey, and above where four of the last six presidents, including Barack Obama and George W. Bush, were at this point of the first term.
…After two weeks of bad news on the coronavirus and economic front, Trump maintained his 49% approval rating, and his disapproval crept up just 1 point, to 48% in the Gallup survey of adults, a broad test.
Gallup said that Trump’s approval is “tied for the best of his presidency.”
…At 49%, Trump is a hair away from the generally accepted 50%-51% approval political experts consider a lock to win reelection. Both Obama and Bush were at 50% approval on their reelection days.
The paper adds that some pollsters attribute Trump’s positive number to “backlash against the media’s coverage of Trump and the coronavirus and the economy.”
Wow! That’s some theory. So they theorize that a lot of Americans not appreciating a cabal of Democrats, members of Congress, the news media and popular culture figures relentlessly attacking, insulting, impugning and accusing the President of the United States and the head and symbol of their nation on any pretext might cause them to rally to the support of their elected leader, whom they recognize is trying to perform a near impossible job when attempted under the best of conditions, never mind when power forces in society are determined to sabotage you. Huh. I never would have thought of that.
- Stipulated: polls, particularly regarding President Trump, are unreliable and untrustworthy. Polls feed confirmation bias.
In this case, it feeds mine.
- I have believed for a long time that the tactics of “the resistance” and the mainstream news media would eventually benefit the President, based on my understanding of how the American public has always felt about the man in the White House, particularly during national crises.
Democrats, the “resistance” and journalists have bet that because they don’t respect the office or the current occupant of it as “legitimate” or deserving the basic deference and good which all previous Presidents have been granted as a matter of course and tradition, they could convince a decisive majority that their contempt is fair and correct. [Hey! Now I can post the movie clip that I just added to the list!]
- The reason anything close to 50% usually means re-election is that “disapproval” isn’t the same as “I’m planning on voting for someone else.” Again, I suspect this particularly is true of Trump, whose approval levels are significantly higher than his main adversaries, the news media and the Democratic House.Disapproval also dumps the true President-haters into the same category as the “Why does he keep sending those stupid tweets?” and the “Why hasn’t he finished the wall?” groups, which is misleading.
The news media should clarify this when they publish approval polls, but they want to push the narrative that the President is unpopular.
- The impeachment wasn’t just a failure and a constitutional abomination, it was a dud. It didn’t change anyone’s opinion of the President, but did lower many citizens’ opinion of the impeachers…as it should have.
The exercise literally had no negative impact on Trump at all.
- I’m not going to make any predictions. However, if the President’s approval rating is as high as Gallup says it is before the lockdown is ended, after the pandemic has peaked here, after all the intense media blame-casting, after the cheap-shots from Obama, after so many dumb spontaneously utterances by Trump at the virus briefings and the media attempts to fan them into “firestorms,” and before Joe Biden has had to endure full exposure of his conspicuously melting brain, his hypocritical #MeToo support, and his past positions that he has eagerly jettisoned to be acceptable to Leftist nuts, I think it’s likely that the “Trump’s support is collapsing!” stories I keep seeing are fake news.
I am so tempted to post this poll on Facebook. I could rationalize doing so on the basis that it would be kind to try to gradually ease the Deranged into reality so that if and when the worst occurs in November (from their perspective), they don’t have a mass psychotic episode. However, deep inside I know that the real reason I would do so is to provoke mass outrage, denials and fury. That would be wrong.
Fun, but wrong.